GGOALVIO

Sweden · Svenska Cupen · 6/12/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Laholm · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Laholm are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while IFK Hässleholm are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and IFK Hässleholm hold a 13.8-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 37.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.4% in the Svenska Cupen, while Laholm holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Laholm

Probability

39.4%

Model confidence

39.4%

Laholm has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LaholmWLLLL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
IFK HässleholmWDLWW

GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
LaholmIFK Hässleholm
33.3Attack33.3
33.3Defence16.7
0.0Form50.0
23.7Power37.5
1.88xG1.61
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