Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Laholm · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Laholm 2-2 AFC Malmo
Original prediction
Laholm
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.64 | 24.8% | 40.3% | 15.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.87 | 23.3% | 26.3% | 3.0 pts |
| Away | 1.74 | 51.8% | 33.4% | -18.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.87 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Laholm
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
Laholm has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LaholmLDWLL
GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 0.60/2.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
AFC MalmoLDLL
GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 2.00/3.50
BTTS 4/4O2.5 4/4
LaholmAFC Malmo
33.3Attack33.3
100.0Defence33.3
100.0Form0.0
80.3Power23.7
1.70xG1.00