Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (11%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 25 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.3%
Model confidence
35.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LagoaDLDWL
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
RealWDDDL
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
BTTS 5/5O2.5 2/5
LagoaReal
25.0Attack66.7
75.0Defence41.7
41.7Form50.0
50.3Power56.2
1.22xG1.15