Maranhense - 2Maranhense - 2
Wednesday, 22 July 202623:00Last updated 14:55
Lago Verde

Lago Verde

Home
W
22
Full time
Pinheiro

Pinheiro

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
61% confidence
Lago Verde(61%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
Lago Verde
61%
Draw
24%
Pinheiro
15%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Lago Verde
100
Pinheiro
34
Defence
Lago Verde
27
Pinheiro
91
Momentum
Lago Verde
100
Pinheiro
100
Danger (xG)
Lago Verde
4.50
Pinheiro
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Lago Verde)
4.50
avg per match
xG for (Pinheiro)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Lago Verde)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Pinheiro)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Lago VerdeLago Verde
W
PinheiroPinheiro
W

Probability breakdown

61% confidence
Lago Verde61%
Draw24%
Pinheiro15%

Lago Verde leads with 61% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Lago Verde head into this in Maranhense - 2 fixture in mixed form (W), while Pinheiro arrive in mixed form (W). Lago Verde have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Pinheiro over 1 games.

The model rates Lago Verde's attack at 100/100 against a 91/100 Pinheiro defence, and Pinheiro's attack at 34/100 against a 27/100 Lago Verde backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Lago Verde have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 5.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game at home. Pinheiro have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Lago Verde and Pinheiro in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Lago Verde to win with 61% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Lago Verde 6069%, Draw 2385%, Pinheiro 1546%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

Lago Verde

Lago Verde

W
vs Expressinho
15 Jul 2026
52
Pinheiro

Pinheiro

W
@ Sao Luis
15 Jul 2026
10

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Lago Verde vs Pinheiro?

GoalVio's model predicts Lago Verde to win with 61% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Lago Verde vs Pinheiro?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Lago Verde vs Pinheiro?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Lago Verde vs Pinheiro?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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