Maranhense - 2Maranhense - 2
Wednesday, 15 July 202621:00Updated today
Lago Verde

Lago Verde

Home
W
vs
21:00
Expressinho

Expressinho

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
70% confidence
Lago Verde(70%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
Lago Verde
70%
Draw
21%
Expressinho
10%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Lago Verde
100
Expressinho
73
Defence
Lago Verde
27
Expressinho
0
Momentum
Lago Verde
100
Expressinho
0
Danger (xG)
Lago Verde
4.50
Expressinho
1.80
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Lago Verde)
4.50
avg per match
xG for (Expressinho)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Lago Verde)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Expressinho)
4.50
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Lago VerdeLago Verde
W
ExpressinhoExpressinho
LL

Probability breakdown

70% confidence
Lago Verde70%
Draw21%
Expressinho10%

Lago Verde leads with 70% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Lago Verde head into this in Maranhense - 2 fixture in mixed form (W), while Expressinho arrive in mixed form (L). Lago Verde have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Expressinho over 1 games.

Both teams carry genuine attacking threat — Lago Verde (100/100) and Expressinho (73/100) are both rated highly going forward. The model anticipates an open, goal-heavy contest.

Lago Verde have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 5.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game at home. Expressinho have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per away game.

Lago Verde have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 7.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Lago Verde to win with 70% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Lago Verde 6980%, Draw 2067%, Expressinho 953%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Lago Verde 1Draws 00 Expressinho
Avg goals: 7.0BTTS in 1/1
15 Jul 2026
Lago Verde
W52
Expressinho

Recent form

Lago Verde

Lago Verde

W
vs Expressinho
15 Jul 2026
52
Expressinho

Expressinho

L
@ Lago Verde
15 Jul 2026
25
L
@ Araioses
25 Jun 2026
01

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Lago Verde vs Expressinho?

GoalVio's model predicts Lago Verde to win with 70% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Lago Verde vs Expressinho?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Lago Verde vs Expressinho?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Lago Verde vs Expressinho?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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