Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Laci · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (11%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Laci 1-0 Vora
Original prediction
Laci
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.17 | 41.5% | 39.4% | -2.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.3% | 27.9% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.89 | 31.1% | 32.7% | 1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.17 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Laci
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
Laci has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LaciLLWLW
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
VoraWDWDL
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
LaciVora
33.3Attack38.1
47.6Defence42.9
33.3Form38.1
40.6Power41.2
1.25xG1.10