GGOALVIO

Albania · Superliga · 9/19/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Laci are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (WLD), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.67 conceded, while Vllaznia Shkodër are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Vllaznia Shkodër hold a 2.3-point power-rating edge (51.8 v 54.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.4% in the Superliga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

46.4%

Model confidence

46.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LaciWLD

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.67

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
Vllaznia ShkodërDDWWL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
LaciVllaznia Shkodër
36.0Attack37.7
71.2Defence67.5
44.1Form52.6
51.8Power54.1
0.74xG0.60
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