GGOALVIO

Albania · Superliga · 10/11/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Egnatia Rrogozhinë · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Laci 0-2 Egnatia Rrogozhinë

Original prediction

Egnatia Rrogozhinë

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.7124.3%26.0%1.7 pts
Draw3.2927.4%26.2%-1.1 pts
Away1.8648.4%47.8%-0.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.86 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-0.6 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.1–210%
  3. 3.0–110%

Predicted outcome

Egnatia Rrogozhinë

Probability

47.8%

Model confidence

47.8%

Egnatia Rrogozhinë has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LaciWLWLW

GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Egnatia RrogozhinëWLWWL

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
LaciEgnatia Rrogozhinë
46.7Attack73.3
46.7Defence66.7
46.7Form80.0
48.8Power74.3
1.06xG1.71
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