Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Laagri · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Laagri are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Vaprus are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 43.8 against 43.7. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.3% in the Meistriliiga, while Laagri holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Laagri
Probability
45.3%
Model confidence
45.3%
Laagri has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20