Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Laagri · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Laagri 0-2 Tammeka
Original prediction
Laagri
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.12 | 42.4% | 42.0% | -0.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.56 | 25.3% | 24.1% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.78 | 32.3% | 33.9% | 1.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Laagri
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
42.0%
Laagri has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LaagriWWLWL
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
TammekaLWWWW
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
LaagriTammeka
48.0Attack43.1
45.3Defence51.4
41.3Form52.8
46.0Power51.1
1.48xG1.32