LaagrivsTallinna Kalev

Laagri are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Tallinna Kalev are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Tallinna Kalev hold a 9.2-point power-rating edge (43.8 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.1% in the Meistriliiga, while Tallinna Kalev holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.