Laagrivs
Nõmme United
COMPLETEDEstonia · Meistriliiga · 10/13/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Laagri · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Laagri 2-0 Nõmme United
Original prediction
Laagri
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.93 | 46.3% | 52.0% | 5.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.70 | 24.2% | 22.0% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 3.05 | 29.4% | 26.0% | -3.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.93 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
Laagri
Probability
52.0%
Model confidence
52.0%
Laagri has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LaagriWWDWL
GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Nõmme UnitedLLLWL
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
LaagriNõmme United
45.6Attack52.2
47.8Defence20.0
42.2Form31.1
46.6Power35.6
2.43xG1.46