Laagrivs
Kuressaare
COMPLETEDEstonia · Meistriliiga · 9/18/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Laagri · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Laagri 0-0 Kuressaare
Original prediction
Laagri
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.99 | 44.9% | 52.5% | 7.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 25.4% | 22.4% | -2.9 pts |
| Away | 2.99 | 29.8% | 25.0% | -4.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.52 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Laagri
Probability
52.5%
Model confidence
52.5%
Laagri has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LaagriWLLWW
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
KuressaareLLWDL
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
LaagriKuressaare
47.6Attack36.9
44.0Defence41.7
40.5Form33.3
45.3Power40.0
1.82xG1.12