GGOALVIO

Estonia · Meistriliiga · 3/19/2023, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kalju Nomme · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Laagri are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Kalju Nomme are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Kalju Nomme hold a 20.9-point power-rating edge (43.8 v 64.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.5% in the Meistriliiga, while Kalju Nomme holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kalju Nomme

Probability

62.5%

Model confidence

62.5%

Kalju Nomme has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LaagriLDLLL

GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Kalju NommeDDDWW

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
LaagriKalju Nomme
48.5Attack60.6
42.4Defence74.2
37.9Form62.1
43.8Power64.7
0.80xG2.04
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