Laagrivs
Flora Tallinn
COMPLETEDEstonia · Meistriliiga · 10/21/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Flora Tallinn · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Laagri 3-1 Flora Tallinn
Original prediction
Flora Tallinn
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 12:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.27 | 27.6% | 28.9% | 1.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.90 | 23.1% | 21.9% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 1.82 | 49.4% | 49.2% | -0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Flora Tallinn
Probability
49.2%
Model confidence
49.2%
Flora Tallinn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 0 · avg 3.00/0.00
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80