La Roche VFvs
Valenciennes
COMPLETEDFrance · Ligue 3 · 9/19/2026, 12:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
La Roche VF · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: La Roche VF 1-0 Valenciennes, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
La Roche VF 3-2 Valenciennes
Original prediction
La Roche VF
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 16:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.19 | 41.4% | 51.0% | 9.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.14 | 28.9% | 27.4% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 3.05 | 29.7% | 21.6% | -8.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.19 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.6 pts
Projected Score
La Roche VF 1–0 Valenciennes
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
La Roche VF
Probability
51.0%
Model confidence
51.0%
La Roche VF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
La Roche VFDDWDW
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
ValenciennesLDDLW
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
La Roche VFValenciennes
38.9Attack27.8
77.8Defence50.0
66.7Form27.8
64.8Power37.0
1.39xG0.57