La Roche VFvs
Quevilly
COMPLETEDFrance · Ligue 3 · 9/5/2026, 12:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
La Roche VF · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: La Roche VF 1-0 Quevilly, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
La Roche VF 1-1 Quevilly
Original prediction
La Roche VF
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.83 | 49.8% | 52.0% | 2.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.6% | 26.8% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 4.04 | 22.6% | 21.3% | -1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.30 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.2 pts
Projected Score
La Roche VF 1–0 Quevilly
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
La Roche VF
Probability
52.0%
Model confidence
52.0%
La Roche VF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
La Roche VFWDWWD
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
QuevillyWLDLW
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
La Roche VFQuevilly
50.0Attack25.0
75.0Defence50.0
83.3Form33.3
73.7Power39.1
1.57xG0.67