La Nucíavs
Mallorca II
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 · 9/27/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mallorca II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (15%), 0-2 (13%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
La Nucía 2-0 Mallorca II
Original prediction
Mallorca II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.68 | 54.0% | 31.8% | -22.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 27.9% | 27.9% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 5.01 | 18.1% | 40.3% | 22.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
22.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–115%
- 2.0–213%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
Mallorca II
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
Mallorca II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80