La Luzvs
Uruguay Montevideo
COMPLETEDUruguay · Segunda División · 4/11/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
La Luz are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Uruguay Montevideo are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 47.5 against 49.4. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 25.9% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
25.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80