La Luzvs
Sportivo Huracan
COMPLETEDUruguay · Segunda División · 9/4/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: La Luz 0-0 Sportivo Huracan, with an exact score probability of 27%.
Prediction record
Final result
La Luz 1-3 Sportivo Huracan
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.99 | 45.6% | 35.6% | -10.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.08 | 29.4% | 33.8% | 4.3 pts |
| Away | 3.64 | 24.9% | 30.6% | 5.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.3 pts
Projected Score
La Luz 0–0 Sportivo Huracan
Exact score probability: 27%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.8%
Model confidence
35.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
La LuzDLLDL
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Sportivo HuracanWDWLL
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
La LuzSportivo Huracan
25.8Attack34.8
65.2Defence59.1
37.9Form43.9
44.9Power48.7
0.67xG0.67