La Luzvs
Plaza Colonia
COMPLETEDUruguay · Segunda División · 10/11/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Plaza Colonia · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: La Luz 0-0 Plaza Colonia, with an exact score probability of 25%.
Prediction record
Final result
La Luz 1-1 Plaza Colonia
Original prediction
Plaza Colonia
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 12:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.76 | 32.9% | 27.7% | -5.2 pts |
| Draw | 2.85 | 31.8% | 33.0% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.56 | 35.4% | 39.3% | 4.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.85 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.0 pts
Projected Score
La Luz 0–0 Plaza Colonia
Exact score probability: 25%
Predicted outcome
Plaza Colonia
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Plaza Colonia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
La LuzWWLWL
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Plaza ColoniaLLWDD
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
La LuzPlaza Colonia
29.6Attack43.2
63.0Defence71.6
42.0Form54.3
47.0Power57.5
0.52xG0.90