GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 3/16/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

LA Galaxy II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

LA Galaxy II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while St. Louis City II are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and LA Galaxy II hold a 9.7-point power-rating edge (59.8 v 50.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.8% in the MLS Next Pro, while LA Galaxy II holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

LA Galaxy II

Probability

59.1%

Model confidence

9.8%

LA Galaxy II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LA Galaxy IIDWLLW

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
St. Louis City IIWWLLW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
LA Galaxy IISt. Louis City II
68.3Attack51.5
55.6Defence50.0
55.6Form47.0
59.8Power50.2
2.31xG1.25
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