GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 5/2/2026, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

LA Galaxy II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

LA Galaxy II are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while San Jose Earthquakes II are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and LA Galaxy II hold a 3.9-point power-rating edge (59.8 v 56.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.3% in the MLS Next Pro, while LA Galaxy II holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

LA Galaxy II

Probability

43.7%

Model confidence

10.3%

LA Galaxy II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LA Galaxy IILDWWD

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
San Jose Earthquakes IILWWDW

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
LA Galaxy IISan Jose Earthquakes II
68.3Attack65.0
55.6Defence58.3
55.6Form48.3
59.8Power56.0
1.90xG1.60
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