La Fioritavs
San Marino Academy
COMPLETEDSan-Marino · Campionato · 9/6/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
La Fiorita · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
La Fiorita 1-1 San Marino Academy
Original prediction
La Fiorita
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.08 | 83.5% | 53.6% | -29.8 pts |
| Draw | 7.17 | 12.6% | 23.6% | 11.0 pts |
| Away | 23.00 | 3.9% | 22.7% | 18.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 6.17 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-29.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
La Fiorita
Probability
53.6%
Model confidence
53.6%
La Fiorita has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 1 · GA 10 · avg 0.20/2.00