GGOALVIO

San-Marino · Coppa Titano · 11/8/2023, 7:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

La Fiorita · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

La Fiorita are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Fiorentino are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and La Fiorita hold a 38.0-point power-rating edge (88.5 v 50.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.1% in the Coppa Titano, while La Fiorita holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

La Fiorita

Probability

68.1%

Model confidence

68.1%

La Fiorita has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

La FioritaWLWDW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FiorentinoWLWLL

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
La FioritaFiorentino
83.3Attack66.7
77.8Defence33.3
100.0Form50.0
88.5Power50.5
2.44xG0.87
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