GGOALVIO

San-Marino · Coppa Titano · 9/27/2023, 7:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

La Fiorita · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

La Fiorita are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (WWLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Cailungo are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and La Fiorita hold a 61.8-point power-rating edge (88.5 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.9% in the Coppa Titano, while La Fiorita holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

La Fiorita

Probability

65.9%

Model confidence

65.9%

La Fiorita has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

La FioritaWWLD

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 3/4O2.5 2/4
CailungoWL

GF 1 · GA 2 · avg 0.50/1.00

BTTS 0/2O2.5 0/2
La FioritaCailungo
83.3Attack0.0
77.8Defence66.7
100.0Form0.0
88.5Power26.7
2.01xG0.64
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