GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera A · 2/22/2026, 1:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Millonarios · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

La Equidad are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Millonarios are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Millonarios hold a 9.7-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 55.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.3% in the Primera A, while Millonarios holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Millonarios

Probability

50.2%

Model confidence

13.3%

Millonarios has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

La EquidadDWWDW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
MillonariosWWDDL

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
La EquidadMillonarios
41.7Attack51.5
45.8Defence63.6
43.1Form48.5
45.3Power55.0
0.95xG1.56
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