GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera A · 3/18/2026, 11:20:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

La Equidad · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

La Equidad are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Deportivo Pereira are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and La Equidad hold a 12.7-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 32.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.9% in the Primera A, while La Equidad holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

La Equidad

Probability

54.6%

Model confidence

15.9%

La Equidad has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

La EquidadDDDWD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Deportivo PereiraLLLDD

GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
La EquidadDeportivo Pereira
41.7Attack23.8
45.8Defence47.6
43.1Form17.5
45.3Power32.6
1.47xG0.69
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