GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera A · 2/2/2026, 11:20:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportes Tolima · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

La Equidad are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Deportes Tolima are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportes Tolima hold a 13.5-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.5% in the Primera A, while Deportes Tolima holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Deportes Tolima

Probability

50.4%

Model confidence

13.5%

Deportes Tolima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

La EquidadWWLWW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Deportes TolimaDWWLL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
La EquidadDeportes Tolima
41.7Attack48.1
45.8Defence66.7
43.1Form56.8
45.3Power58.8
0.86xG1.48
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