La Equidadvs
Atletico Nacional
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 5/9/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atletico Nacional · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
La Equidad are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Atletico Nacional are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Nacional hold a 23.5-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 68.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.0% in the Primera A, while Atletico Nacional holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atletico Nacional
Probability
67.8%
Model confidence
14.0%
Atletico Nacional has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00