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Kyzyl-Zhar logoKyzyl-ZharvsZhenys logoZhenys

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Kazakhstan · Premier League · 4/12/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Kyzyl-Zhar are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Zhenys are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Zhenys hold a 3.1-point power-rating edge (44.5 v 47.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.4% in the Premier League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.4%

Model confidence

39.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kyzyl-ZharWDDLW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ZhenysWDDLD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Kyzyl-ZharZhenys
39.7Attack33.3
52.4Defence61.9
36.5Form41.3
44.5Power47.6
0.96xG0.88
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