Kyzyl-Zharvs
Ulytau
COMPLETEDKazakhstan · Premier League · 10/24/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kyzyl-Zhar · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Kyzyl-Zhar 0-0 Ulytau, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Kyzyl-Zhar 1-0 Ulytau
Original prediction
Kyzyl-Zhar
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 12:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.67 | 55.0% | 40.8% | -14.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 25.9% | 29.7% | 3.8 pts |
| Away | 4.81 | 19.1% | 29.5% | 10.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.67 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.2 pts
Projected Score
Kyzyl-Zhar 0–0 Ulytau
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Kyzyl-Zhar
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Kyzyl-Zhar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Kyzyl-ZharLWDLL
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
UlytauLWDLL
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Kyzyl-ZharUlytau
35.7Attack32.1
52.4Defence59.5
33.3Form41.7
42.3Power46.7
0.91xG0.85