GGOALVIO

Kazakhstan · Premier League · 3/10/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Kyzyl-Zhar are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Maqtaaral are 3W-0D-1L in their last 4 (LWWW), averaging 1.25 scored and 0.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 9 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 44.5 against 46.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.4% in the Premier League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

37.4%

Model confidence

37.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kyzyl-ZharWLLLL

GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
MaqtaaralLWWW

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.25/0.75

BTTS 1/4O2.5 1/4
Kyzyl-ZharMaqtaaral
39.7Attack37.3
52.4Defence58.7
36.5Form37.3
44.5Power46.0
1.05xG0.97
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