Kyzyl-Zharvs
Kaisar
COMPLETEDKazakhstan · Premier League · 9/18/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kyzyl-Zhar · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Kyzyl-Zhar 0-0 Kaisar, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Kyzyl-Zhar 1-1 Kaisar
Original prediction
Kyzyl-Zhar
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.01 | 44.9% | 42.1% | -2.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 28.1% | 29.6% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 3.34 | 27.0% | 28.3% | 1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.21 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.7 pts
Projected Score
Kyzyl-Zhar 0–0 Kaisar
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Kyzyl-Zhar
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
Kyzyl-Zhar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Kyzyl-ZharLLLDD
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
KaisarWLLLL
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Kyzyl-ZharKaisar
36.0Attack28.0
49.3Defence57.3
32.0Form30.7
41.0Power41.6
0.98xG0.78