Premier LeaguePremier League
Saturday, 18 July 2026Last updated 12:42
Kyzyl-Zhar

Kyzyl-Zhar

Home
L
11
Full time
FK Tobol Kostanay

FK Tobol Kostanay

Away
W
Karasai Stadium
GoalVio prediction
40% confidence
FK Tobol Kostanay(38%)
Most likely exact score0-1
Win probability
Kyzyl-Zhar
27%
Draw
35%
FK Tobol Kostanay
38%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Kyzyl-Zhar
9
FK Tobol Kostanay
94
Defence
Kyzyl-Zhar
27
FK Tobol Kostanay
66
Momentum
Kyzyl-Zhar
0
FK Tobol Kostanay
100
Danger (xG)
Kyzyl-Zhar
0.00
FK Tobol Kostanay
2.70
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Kyzyl-Zhar)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (FK Tobol Kostanay)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Kyzyl-Zhar)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (FK Tobol Kostanay)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Kyzyl-ZharKyzyl-Zhar
LL
FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay
WWD

Probability breakdown

40% confidence
Kyzyl-Zhar27%
Draw35%
FK Tobol Kostanay38%

FK Tobol Kostanay leads with 38% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Kyzyl-Zhar head into this in Premier League fixture at Karasai Stadium in mixed form (L), while FK Tobol Kostanay arrive in mixed form (W). Kyzyl-Zhar have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for FK Tobol Kostanay over 1 games.

Tactically, FK Tobol Kostanay hold the edge. Their elite attack (94/100) is pitted against a vulnerable Kyzyl-Zhar defence (27/100), while Kyzyl-Zhar's attack faces a solid FK Tobol Kostanay backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Kyzyl-Zhar have limited home data in the engine at this stage. FK Tobol Kostanay have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Kyzyl-Zhar and FK Tobol Kostanay in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects FK Tobol Kostanay to win with 40% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 0-1. Win probabilities: Kyzyl-Zhar 2740%, Draw 3500%, FK Tobol Kostanay 3760%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Kyzyl-Zhar

Kyzyl-Zhar

L
@ Yelimay Semey
27 Jun 2026
02
L
@ Zhenys
13 May 2026
02
FK Tobol Kostanay

FK Tobol Kostanay

W
vs Okzhetpes
12 Jul 2026
31
W
vs Altay
28 Jun 2026
31
D
@ Kaisar
13 May 2026
11

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Kyzyl-Zhar vs FK Tobol Kostanay?

GoalVio's model predicts FK Tobol Kostanay to win with 40% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Kyzyl-Zhar vs FK Tobol Kostanay?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-1.

Will both teams score in Kyzyl-Zhar vs FK Tobol Kostanay?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Kyzyl-Zhar vs FK Tobol Kostanay?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more