Kyzyl-Zharvs
Atyrau
COMPLETEDKazakhstan · Premier League · 9/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kyzyl-Zhar · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Kyzyl-Zhar 0-0 Atyrau, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Kyzyl-Zhar 0-1 Atyrau
Original prediction
Kyzyl-Zhar
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.10 | 43.5% | 39.2% | -4.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.19 | 28.5% | 31.7% | 3.2 pts |
| Away | 3.26 | 27.9% | 29.1% | 1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.3 pts
Projected Score
Kyzyl-Zhar 0–0 Atyrau
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Kyzyl-Zhar
Probability
39.2%
Model confidence
39.2%
Kyzyl-Zhar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Kyzyl-ZharLDDWW
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
AtyrauLLDDL
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Kyzyl-ZharAtyrau
37.7Attack25.8
50.7Defence63.6
34.8Form30.3
42.9Power42.5
0.88xG0.69