Kyustendilvs
Botev Ihtiman
SCHEDULEDBulgaria · Third League - Southwest · 10/28/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Botev Ihtiman · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (13%), 0-2 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 14 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: -| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.09 | 29.2% | 25.9% | -3.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.78 | 23.8% | 26.0% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 1.92 | 47.0% | 48.1% | 1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 - · Draw - · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.0–211%
Predicted outcome
Botev Ihtiman
Probability
48.1%
Model confidence
48.1%
Botev Ihtiman has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KyustendilDDLLL
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Botev IhtimanDLLLL
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
KyustendilBotev Ihtiman
29.6Attack51.9
48.1Defence55.6
29.6Form55.6
38.3Power56.1
0.86xG1.54