Kyrgyzstanvs
Maldives
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies · 9/28/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kyrgyzstan · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kyrgyzstan 5-0 Maldives
Original prediction
Kyrgyzstan
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.05 | 88.8% | 48.8% | -40.0 pts |
| Draw | 11.86 | 7.9% | 24.1% | 16.2 pts |
| Away | 27.94 | 3.3% | 27.2% | 23.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.05 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-40.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Kyrgyzstan
Probability
48.8%
Model confidence
48.8%
Kyrgyzstan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80