Kyrgyz Republic U23vs
Hong Kong U23
COMPLETEDWorld · Asian Games · 9/23/2026, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kyrgyz Republic U23 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kyrgyz Republic U23 4-0 Hong Kong U23
Original prediction
Kyrgyz Republic U23
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 23 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.50 | 59.9% | 46.1% | -13.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.91 | 22.9% | 25.8% | 2.9 pts |
| Away | 5.18 | 17.3% | 28.1% | 10.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.50 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Kyrgyz Republic U23
Probability
46.1%
Model confidence
46.1%
Kyrgyz Republic U23 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.75/2.50