GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 5/2/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shimizu S-pulse · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Kyoto Sanga are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Shimizu S-pulse are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Shimizu S-pulse hold a 29.3-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.2% in the J1 League, while Shimizu S-pulse holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shimizu S-pulse

Probability

38.1%

Model confidence

14.2%

Shimizu S-pulse has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kyoto SangaDLWLD

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Shimizu S-pulseLLDWL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Kyoto SangaShimizu S-pulse
33.3Attack16.7
33.3Defence83.3
0.0Form50.0
23.7Power53.0
1.18xG1.30
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