Kyoto Sangavs
Ratchaburi
COMPLETEDWorld · AFC Champions League Elite · 10/13/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kyoto Sanga · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kyoto Sanga 1-0 Ratchaburi
Original prediction
Kyoto Sanga
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.35 | 68.6% | 46.1% | -22.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.84 | 19.1% | 25.1% | 6.0 pts |
| Away | 7.51 | 12.3% | 28.8% | 16.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-22.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Kyoto Sanga
Probability
46.1%
Model confidence
46.1%
Kyoto Sanga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60