Kyoto Sangavs
Newcastle Jets
COMPLETEDWorld · AFC Champions League Elite · 10/27/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kyoto Sanga · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kyoto Sanga 5-2 Newcastle Jets
Original prediction
Kyoto Sanga
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 October 2026 at 00:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.41 | 65.4% | 52.5% | -12.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.82 | 19.1% | 24.2% | 5.1 pts |
| Away | 5.97 | 15.5% | 23.3% | 7.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.41 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Kyoto Sanga
Probability
52.5%
Model confidence
52.5%
Kyoto Sanga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 7 · GA 16 · avg 1.40/3.20