GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 3/22/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kyoto Sanga · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Kyoto Sanga are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Nagoya Grampus are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Kyoto Sanga hold a 9.8-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.2% in the J1 League, while Kyoto Sanga holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kyoto Sanga

Probability

44.1%

Model confidence

13.2%

Kyoto Sanga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kyoto SangaWLLWW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Nagoya GrampusWLWDL

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Kyoto SangaNagoya Grampus
50.0Attack16.7
33.3Defence50.0
16.7Form0.0
36.5Power26.7
1.55xG1.19
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