GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 8/22/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kyoto Sanga · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Kyoto Sanga are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Mito Hollyhock are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 23.7 against 23.7. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.1% in the J1 League, while Kyoto Sanga holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kyoto Sanga

Probability

41.1%

Model confidence

13.1%

Kyoto Sanga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kyoto SangaLLWLW

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Mito HollyhockLLLLL

GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Kyoto SangaMito Hollyhock
33.3Attack33.3
33.3Defence33.3
0.0Form0.0
23.7Power23.7
1.51xG1.28
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