Kyoto Sangavs
Kashima
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 10/21/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kashima · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 1-3 (8%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kyoto Sanga 2-2 Kashima
Original prediction
Kashima
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.65 | 25.7% | 17.8% | -7.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.55 | 26.4% | 18.6% | -7.8 pts |
| Away | 1.96 | 47.9% | 63.6% | 15.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.55 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.1–38%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Kashima
Probability
63.6%
Model confidence
63.6%
Kashima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Kyoto SangaLWLDW
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80
BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
KashimaWWWWD
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Kyoto SangaKashima
36.7Attack70.0
36.7Defence46.7
26.7Form63.3
36.5Power61.8
1.16xG2.63