GGOALVIO

Japan · J-League Cup · 3/8/2023, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Kyoto Sanga are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (WLL), averaging 0.67 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Gamba Osaka are 0W-2D-1L in their last 3 (LDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 6 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 46.3 against 48.1. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.4% in the J-League Cup, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

34.4%

Model confidence

34.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Kyoto SangaWLL

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.67/1.00

BTTS 0/3O2.5 0/3
Gamba OsakaLDD

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/2.33

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
Kyoto SangaGamba Osaka
50.0Attack33.3
38.9Defence66.7
50.0Form41.7
46.3Power48.1
1.17xG1.13
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