Kyoto Sangavs
Fujieda MYFC
COMPLETEDJapan · Emperor Cup · 9/23/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kyoto Sanga · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kyoto Sanga 1-0 Fujieda MYFC
Original prediction
Kyoto Sanga
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.62 | 56.0% | 46.0% | -10.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.76 | 24.2% | 25.9% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 4.59 | 19.8% | 28.1% | 8.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.62 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Kyoto Sanga
Probability
46.0%
Model confidence
46.0%
Kyoto Sanga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20