Kyoto Sangavs
Avispa Fukuoka
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 8/29/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Avispa Fukuoka · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kyoto Sanga 2-1 Avispa Fukuoka
Original prediction
Avispa Fukuoka
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.66 | 35.1% | 33.0% | -2.1 pts |
| Draw | 2.98 | 31.4% | 27.6% | -3.8 pts |
| Away | 2.79 | 33.5% | 39.4% | 5.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Avispa Fukuoka
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
Avispa Fukuoka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20