Kwara Unitedvs
Nasarawa United
COMPLETEDNigeria · NPFL · 9/23/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kwara United · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-0 (15%), 1-1 (15%), 1-0 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kwara United 2-1 Nasarawa United
Original prediction
Kwara United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–015%
- 2.1–115%
- 3.1–014%
Predicted outcome
Kwara United
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
Kwara United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Kwara UnitedLWLDL
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Nasarawa UnitedDLWLL
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Kwara UnitedNasarawa United
41.7Attack33.3
66.7Defence58.3
33.3Form41.7
47.1Power47.4
1.15xG0.84