Kvik Haldenvs
Vidar
COMPLETEDNorway · 2. Division - Group 1 · 10/17/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kvik Halden · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 3-0 (12%), 4-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Kvik Halden 0-2 Vidar
Original prediction
Kvik Halden
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 08:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.31 | 68.5% | 79.6% | 11.1 pts |
| Draw | 5.10 | 17.6% | 12.7% | -4.9 pts |
| Away | 6.47 | 13.9% | 7.6% | -6.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.3–012%
- 3.4–09%
Predicted outcome
Kvik Halden
Probability
79.6%
Model confidence
79.6%
Kvik Halden has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80